The FPL predicted points table ranks every Premier League player by expected points (xPts) for the upcoming gameweek and the five after it. Each projection is built from expected goals (xG), expected assists (xA), clean sheet probability, projected minutes, bonus point patterns and fixture difficulty, and it refreshes multiple times a week as team news lands. Free to use, no signup. Sort by any gameweek column to find the best captain pick, the best transfer target, or a differential your rivals have missed.
Expected points are forward-looking, which is what separates them from form. Form tells you what a player already did; xPts estimates what they will do next, so it is the number to pick a captain on. Pair it with the fixture difficulty ticker to spot easy runs, then use the transfer solver to turn the projections into the exact transfers for your squad, or rate your team to see how your current XI scores against them.
B.Fernandes (MUN, £12.0m) is the highest projected player for Gameweek 5 with 7.3 expected points, making him the top captain pick on projected points. The ten highest projected players for Gameweek 5 are listed below, each with club, price and projected points. Every player shown is projected to start.
These projections update multiple times a week as team news lands, so the ranking above reflects the latest model run rather than a fixed list.
FPL points are awarded per gameweek from a player's real match performance. Every player scores 1 point for appearing and 2 points for playing 60 minutes or more. A goal is worth 6 points for a goalkeeper or defender, 5 for a midfielder and 4 for a forward. An assist is 3 points for everyone. A clean sheet is worth 4 points to a goalkeeper or defender and 1 to a midfielder, and goalkeepers earn 1 point for every 3 saves and 5 for a saved penalty.
Points are deducted too: minus 1 for a yellow card, minus 3 for a red, minus 2 for an own goal or a missed penalty, and minus 1 for every 2 goals a goalkeeper or defender concedes. Up to 3 bonus points go to the best performers in each match. Your FPL score for a gameweek is the total from your 11 starters, with your captain doubled. Expected points (xPts) forecast that same total before the matches are played, which is what the table on this page ranks every player by.
FPL players score 1 point for appearing and 2 for playing 60 minutes or more. A goal is worth 6 points for a goalkeeper or defender, 5 for a midfielder and 4 for a forward, and an assist is 3 points for any position. A clean sheet is 4 points for a goalkeeper or defender and 1 for a midfielder. Deductions are minus 1 for a yellow card, minus 3 for a red, minus 2 for an own goal or missed penalty, and minus 1 per 2 goals conceded by a goalkeeper or defender. Up to 3 bonus points go to the best performers in each match, and your captain scores double.
Your FPL gameweek score is the sum of points from your 11 starting players, with your captain's score doubled. Bench players only score if an autosub replaces a starter who did not play. Expected points (xPts) forecast that same total before the matches happen, so the xPts table ranks every player by the points they are projected to score rather than the points they already have.
FPL expected points (xPts) project how many fantasy points a player will score in a specific gameweek. The model combines expected goals (xG), expected assists (xA), clean sheet probability, projected minutes, bonus point patterns, and fixture difficulty. Over a season, xPts-based decisions gain 20-30+ points compared to form-based picks.
No single-gameweek prediction is exact because FPL has huge variance from bonus points, red cards, and lineup surprises. But the FPL Copilot xPts model achieves 73% top-5 captain accuracy and consistently gains 20-30+ points per season over form-based captaincy. It is updated multiple times per week as news and lineups confirm.
Captain the player with the highest expected points for the current gameweek. FPL Copilot's xPts table ranks every Premier League player by predicted points and updates multiple times a week. Sort by the GW column, pick the name at the top, double their points.
Form is backward-looking: it measures what a player has already done. Expected points are forward-looking: they predict what a player is likely to do next, based on xG, xA, fixtures, and opponent strength. A player with poor recent form but easy upcoming fixtures often outscores a hot player facing the top 4.
Multiple times per week. The model rebuilds whenever new data lands: post-gameweek stats, price changes, injury news, confirmed lineups, and fixture updates. By the deadline, the xPts numbers reflect the latest information.
Differentials are players under 10% ownership with high expected points. In the xPts table, sort by predicted points and filter for low ownership. You get a list of high-ceiling picks your mini-league rivals do not own, which is how you catch up in a mini-league without taking risky punts.
xG (expected goals) is the probability a shot results in a goal based on shot location, body part, shot type, and opponent. In FPL, xG measures how likely a player is to score based on the quality of their chances, not just whether the ball went in. High xG players regress toward actual goals over time.
xA (expected assists) is the probability that a pass results in a goal. It credits the creator of a chance based on pass location, type, and the xG of the shot that followed. In FPL, high xA players rack up assist points over time as their teammates convert the chances they create.
FPL bonus points reward the top 3 performers in each match with +3, +2, and +1 points. They are calculated from the Bonus Point System (BPS), which weights goals, assists, clean sheets, saves, key passes, tackles, recoveries, and conceding. Penalty takers and set-piece specialists tend to collect the most bonus over a season.
BPS (Bonus Point System) is the algorithm FPL uses to decide who gets the 3 bonus points after each match. It scores every action on the pitch: goals, assists, key passes, tackles, saves, interceptions, recoveries, fouls committed, fouls drawn, yellow cards, goals conceded. The top 3 BPS scores earn +3, +2, +1 bonus points.
FPL form is the average points a player scored per game over their last 30 days. It is a backward-looking stat. Expected points (xPts) are forward-looking and typically a better guide for transfers and captaincy. A player with poor form but easy upcoming fixtures often outscores a hot-form player facing top defences.
The ICT Index is FPL’s proprietary score combining Influence, Creativity, and Threat for each player. It is a performance indicator, not a prediction. Expected points (xPts) are more useful for FPL decisions because they forecast future points rather than summarising past performance.
The xPts table on FPL Copilot ranks every Premier League player by predicted points for the upcoming gameweek. Sort by the next-GW column to see the top xPts picks. Typically premium attackers with home fixtures vs weak defences lead the table. The list updates multiple times per week as news and lineups confirm.
FDR (Fixture Difficulty Rating) is FPL’s 1-to-5 ranking of how hard each match is for a team. Lower is easier: 2 is green, 3 is yellow, 4-5 is red. FDR updates after every gameweek based on team form. The FPL Copilot xPts table already incorporates FDR into every player projection, plus 50+ other variables FDR does not capture.
Yes. Expected points incorporate fixture difficulty along with opponent xG, opponent xG conceded, home/away split, and style matchups. It goes beyond the official FDR by considering individual player-vs-defender matchups, not just team-level difficulty. That is why xPts ranks the same player differently home vs away even when FDR is identical.
Fixture difficulty drives expected goals conceded, expected clean sheets, and individual matchup advantages. A forward vs a weak defence has roughly 40-60% higher xG than against a top-6 defence. A defender facing a low-xG opponent has 30-45% higher clean sheet probability. FDR summarises this at team level; xPts applies it per player per gameweek.
In the xPts table, sort by the total xPts column across your planning horizon (next 4-8 gameweeks). Players with strong fixture runs rise to the top because their xPts compounds across easy matches. Filter by team to see all players from a specific club with good upcoming fixtures.
FPL projected points (also called predicted points or expected points) are a per-player forecast of how many fantasy points each Premier League player will score in an upcoming gameweek. The terms projected points, predicted points, and expected points (xPts) refer to the same number. FPL Copilot publishes projections for every player, updated multiple times a week.
FPL projections are forward-looking forecasts of player points for the upcoming gameweek and beyond. The FPL Copilot projections combine xG, xA, projected minutes, opponent strength, clean sheet probability, and bonus point patterns. Sort the xPts table by the next-GW column to see this week's projections, or by total xPts across multiple GWs for transfer planning.
FPL predicted bonus points project the +3, +2, +1 bonus that the top three BPS performers in each match will likely earn. The xPts model includes expected bonus contribution per player based on their historical BPS profile (penalty takers, set-piece specialists, defenders with high tackle/recovery rates collect bonus consistently). Bonus is part of every xPts number on the table, you do not need to add it separately.
Accuracy varies by use case. For captain picks, the FPL Copilot xPts model achieves 73% top-5 accuracy and gains roughly 14-20 points per season over gut-feel captaincy. No single-gameweek prediction is exact because FPL has high variance from bonus points and rotation. The fairest test is captain accuracy across a season, where data-driven predictors consistently outperform form-based picks.
The FPL Copilot xPts table shows predicted points for the next 1 to 10 gameweeks per player. Sort by single-gameweek xPts for captaincy, or by cumulative xPts across your planning horizon (5-8 GWs typical) for transfer targets. Predictions further out are noisier but useful for spotting fixture swings before the FPL community reacts.
Free to browse. The FPL Copilot expected points table is open to all visitors — sort by gameweek or cumulative total, filter by position or team, and view xPts for every Premier League player without signing up. Overriding projected minutes and feeding the override into the Solver is part of the Pro experience, which starts with a free trial.
An FPL points predictor is a model that forecasts how many fantasy points each Premier League player will score in an upcoming gameweek. The FPL Copilot points predictor combines 50+ inputs per player: xG, xA, opponent xG conceded, projected minutes, clean sheet probability, set-piece duties, BPS history, and fixture difficulty. Outputs are published as expected points (xPts) on the table, updated multiple times a week.
FPL FDR (Fixture Difficulty Rating) is the official 1-to-5 score Fantasy Premier League gives every fixture by opponent difficulty. Lower is easier: 2 is green, 3 is yellow, 4-5 is red. FDR updates weekly based on team form. The FPL Copilot expected points table already incorporates FDR plus 50+ other variables into every player projection, so xPts is the single ranking that combines FDR with player-level signal.
FPL fixture difficulty refers to how hard each upcoming Premier League match is for a given club, expressed as a 1-5 FDR score on the official FPL site. Green (1-2) is easy, yellow (3) is neutral, red (4-5) is hard. FPL Copilot bakes fixture difficulty into every player's expected points (xPts), so you can sort the xPts table by upcoming-GW total and the players with the easiest fixture runs naturally rise to the top.
Open the FPL Copilot FDR ticker at /fdr. It shows every Premier League team's upcoming fixtures colour-coded 1-5 (green easy, red hard) straight from the official FPL difficulty rating, sortable by the easiest run over the next 3, 6, 8, or 10 gameweeks. For a deeper view that combines fixtures with player-level xPts, xG, and projected minutes, use the expected points table.
Yes. The FPL Copilot FDR ticker at /fdr shows all 20 Premier League teams in a colour-coded fixture grid for the next 3, 6, 8, or 10 gameweeks. Each cell is the opponent and home/away, coloured by FDR (green easy, red hard). Sort by the easiest run to instantly see which teams have the best upcoming fixtures. Free to browse, no sign-up.
FPL fixture difficulty (FDR) is a 1-to-5 team-level rating set by the official FPL site, shown on the FDR ticker at /fdr. Expected points (xPts) go further: they are a per-player forecast that layers projected minutes, xG, xA, set-piece duties, and home/away split on top of FDR. Use the FDR ticker to spot easy fixture runs, then the xPts table to find the best player inside those fixtures.